Sports gambling is often very profitable if you know the techniques often the “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make dollars. One of the primary secrets that sensible money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a best example of this. I actually analyzed the Rest of the world Florida vs. Louisville video game, and concluded of which West Va had often the edge in the video game. Nonetheless We also recognized that there were a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not bet on this kind of game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:
West Virginia or Louisville
This online game features all the indicators of being one connected with the ideal games associated with the year, having the two teams coming into the game 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s video game was a classic, together with Western world Virginia coming again from getting down big in the fourth 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the game appearance like this year?
When this video game were as played from the fairly neutral field, West Florida will probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented spin. Many people haven’t lost due to the fact Jan. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Las vegas Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.
These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s games. Plus, often www.worldfilmfair.com added bonus is that WVU is usually GETTING +1 point. This may not look like quite a bit, but in a near match-up this way, that more point could make the change between a new push together with a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s statistics are usually almost as good since WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their previous 10 home video games.
And even if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t lost in the home since 12 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. some points per game in your own home, while averaging only quitting 15. six points for each game on home. In case an individual decided not to do the math concepts, that means given that their last home decline they already have averaged beating their own oppositions by about thirty four items per game.
What’s more remarkable, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular spread, on average, by simply 13 points per activity at home considering that the year 2003.
Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats have been built up during the 2004 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been closer to excellent than great. They also have experienced recent games where they also have only scored 35, 12, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Kansas Saint. or Michigan. These people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St.
In essence the fact that this is still a close video game to call. Nonetheless what I look to get is West Virginia’s defense to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest professional recommendation is definitely to lay off this particular game and certainly not guess at all. There happen to be better video games this saturday and sunday with more clear-cut benefits.
The final score of this game was Louisville 46, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles in addition to allowed Lousiville to go back a punt for some sort of TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders had not been so big that they could very well still win immediately after making so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this kind of sport, people serious concerning gambling saved money many people can offer better apply on upcoming games.